Real Time News of The Day- One Hour Before

Real Time News of The Day- One Hour Before

Written on 05/05/2019
Professor Anthony Rivieccio, MBA, PFA


Yes the old saying is true By the time the news gets to the masses- in financial markets terms- the news is dead----- or the market juice-- gone

The Professor Anthony Rivieccio MBA PFA will cover the overnight world markets and give nightly and early morning updates- Monday- Friday 9AM (est), before The NY markets open , Monday to Friday at 9:30 AM, EST, to maximize your market juice

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Monday- Friday Jan 27th- Jan 31st We have decided not to do any personal analysis not trading for this week, based on the International health situation which we believe will being turbulence

Thursday Jan 23 2020, 740am While Asia has been going down dramatically overnight around -1.5% Europe had moderated a flat pace Asian shares tumbled overnight, while Chinese Treasury futures surged, as fears of an economic fallout from the virus sent investors running for cover. Thursday’s focus will also be attuned to individual stock moves arising from corporate earnings season, with a strong session for IBM lifting the tech sector on Wednesday. Comcast, Procter & Gamble, Union Pacific and American Airlines are all due to report earnings before the opening bell on Thursday, with Intel reporting after the close of trade. On the data front, initial and continuing jobless claims figures for January are due at 8:30 a.m. ET. Thus we believe The Dow Jones at 930am today might open flat--- but unless the 830am data says otherwise-we expect the Dow to go down -120 points today

Friday Jan 17 2020, 9am As Asia is strolling moderately along , Europe is booming.... So much so, that as we roll into the NY markets at 930am, we expect a 150+ bounce this morning on the Dow Jones On the data front, U.S. housing starts soared nearly 17% in December and reached a 13-year high. That data follows Thursday’s release of better-than-forecast weekly jobless claims and strong business activity numbers from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve. Ladies and Gentleman

Jan 14th 2020 750am While Asia is collapsing this morning at -1.5%, Europe has been relatively flat Asia is experiencing a serious health crises . Europe inflation numbers also show moderate inflation growth So unless the US data numbers for this morning at 830am say otherwise, we expect the Dow Jones at 930am to be flat--- then to go down to -150 points by the end of the day

Monday Jan 13th 2020 Day off

Friday Jan 10tb 9am While Europe & Asia are still showing positive growth this morning - employment numbers in the US are slowing The U.S. economy added 145,000 jobs in December. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect the U.S. economy to have added 160,000 jobs in December. Wages also disappointed, growing by just 2.9% on a year-over-year basis. Economists had forecast a gain of 3.1%. December was also the first month since July 2018 that wages grew by less than 3% from the year before. We think the market will be mostly flat today

Wednesday, Thursday We will not look at the market and let the " war like" events of the coming days, bypass. We will resume on Friday

Good morning Tuesday Jan 7th 730am While it looks like Asia stock markets are humming along this morning at 0.7% Europe is slowing down at 0.4% President Donald Trump announced last week that the U.S. had killed Iran’s top military commander in Baghdad. The president also said Sunday that he could slap sanctions on Iraq, after its parliament passed a resolution calling for the government to expel foreign troops from the country. Market players are now waiting to see if the situation will escalate with a potential retaliation from Iranian forces. Oil prices were slightly lower Tuesday morning after recent gains. Brent was trading at $68.40 a barrel and WTI was sold at $62.86 a barrel. In terms of data, there will be U.S. trade deficit figures out at 8:30 a.m. ET, followed by factory orders and non-manufacturing PMIs at 10 a.m. Therefore we say to proceed with caution today- but the NY markets at 930am should start well and end with an update of 130 Dow Jones points


Monday Jan 6th 9am As the world markets are moving this morning at 0.9%, we are worried about the NY markets opening at 930am Stocks set to extend sell-off as Iran vows retaliation for US drone strike U.S. stock index futures fell for a second straight session on Monday as concerns over geopolitical tensions between Iran and the U.S. remained high following last week’s assassination of a top Iranian military leader. Around 7:15 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down 159 points, indicating an open of 166 points at the open. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also pointed to steep losses at the open. Those losses add to Friday’s sharp decline. The Dow and S&P 500 had their worst trading day in a month on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump called for a U.S. airstrike in Baghdad that killed top Iranian Gen. Qasem Soleimani. The news sparked a bid on oil prices amid worries the conflict could disrupt the world’s oil supply. Crude rallied more than 3% on Friday to its highest level since April. Oil added another 0.8% to that surge on Monday, trading around $63.60 per barrel. Trump said Sunday he could slap sanctions on Iraq after its parliament passed a resolution calling for the government to expel foreign troops from the country. “We have a very extraordinarily expensive airbase that’s there. It cost billions of dollars to build. Long before my time. We’re not leaving unless they pay us back for it,” Trump said. Meanwhile, the Iranian regime said Sunday it would not abide by the uranium-enrichment limits set by the 2015 nuclear deal. Investors have dumped equities — which were trading at all-time highs — in favor of traditional safe havens such as gold and Treasurys as U.S.-Iran tensions rose. On Monday, gold futures hit their highest level in more than six years. They traded 1.7% higher at $1,579 per ounce. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hovered below 1.8% after starting 2020 trading above 1.9%. Yields move inversely to prices. Meanwhile, in terms of data, there will be service sector Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) due at 9:45 a.m. ET. The earnings calendar is also thin with only Cal-Maine Foods and Commercial Metals due before the bell. We expect the Dow Jones to close lower at 150 points

Jan 2nd, 2020, 8AM Happy new year everyone! It looks like Europe is having a great New Year while Asia does not too much . But we believe when the NY Markets open at 930AM, were going to have a blast - about 130 points Thursday’s gains come after Wall Street booked a strong 2019 performance on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 rising 28.9% in the year. That was the broad index’s biggest annual gain since 2013, when it surged 29.6%. The Dow, meanwhile, climbed 22.3% while the Nasdaq Composite skyrocketed more than 35%. Sentiment was lifted Thursday after the People’s Bank of China lowered the amount of reserve cash the country’s banks need to support the economy. This move will inject about 800 billion yuan in liquidity to the Chinese economy. Chinese stocks rose broadly on the announcement, with global equity markets following them. In Europe, the German Dax rose 0.9% while the French CAC 40 jumped 1.2%. But while global stocks are off to a good start for 2020, investors will remain tracking trade developments as well as political risks. President Donald Trump said Tuesday that he will be signing a first phase trade deal with China on Jan. 15 at the White House. The president also announced that he will be going to Beijing at a later date when phase two talks begin. On the data front, jobless claims numbers are due at at 8:30 a.m. ET and manufacturing PMIs at 9:45 a.m. ET.

We will start our Daily market coverage again on Thursday January 2, 2020. The Boss, The Professor, is allowing his staff to take some needed time off. Please join us Jan 2, 2020

Friday Nov 13 2019 Around 6:30 a.m. ET, Dow Jones industrial average futures indicated a positive open of more than 100 points. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also pointed to a positive start to the final trading session of the week. The U.S. agreed to a so-called phase one trade deal with China in principle, sources told CNBC. US futures point to a higher open on hopes of a US-China trade deal Around 6:30 a.m. ET, Dow Jones industrial average futures indicated a positive open of more than 100 points. Wall Street set to extend Thursday’s gains amid growing China trade hope The U.S. agreed to a so-called phase one trade deal with China in principle, sources told CNBC. As part of the deal, the U.S. would scrap additional levies set to take effect on Sunday. The U.S. also proposed cutting tariffs on $360 billion in Chinese goods by up to 50% Futures also moved after exit polls showed the U.K.’s Conservative party winning a big majority in Parliament, giving Prime Minister Boris Johnson a clear path to move forward with his Brexit plans. Get ready folks! We believe the NY Dow Jones will open and close around 350 points today as Europe, premarket is coming in at 1.3% and Asia at 1.8%

Thursday Dec 12th 8AM US Futures rose slightly on Thursday as investors awaited for President Donald Trump to meet with his top trade advisors ahead of a key deadline with China. Around 7 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 15 points, indicating a gain of 17 points at the open. Futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 also edged higher. Trump’s meeting, which was first reported by Reuters and cited three unnamed sources familiar with the matter, comes as both sides try to iron out a “phase one” deal with China before Sunday. If an agreement is not reached by then, additional U.S. levies on Chinese products will take effect. Reports from Bloomberg News and The Wall Street Journal suggested earlier in the week that the U.S. could delay those additional tariffs. However, National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said Tuesday the charges were “still on the table.” The world’s two largest economies have imposed tariffs on billions of dollars’ worth of one another’s goods since the start of 2018, battering financial markets and souring business and consumer sentiment. Uncertainty around trade has led to a muted performance for stocks this week. The major averages are marginally lower week to date entering the session. On Wednesday, stocks posted slight gains after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady in a target range of 1.5% to 1.75%. The central bank also indicated it would likely not make any policy changes through at least 2020. The U.S. central bank’s decision to keep borrowing costs unchanged was unanimous, following several dissents in recent meetings. On the data front Thursday, the latest weekly jobless claims and producer price index figures for November will both be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. It looks like Europe is coming in at a positive 1.5% while Asia is coming in at 0.4%. Therefore we see the Dow Jones NY markets opening up at 930AM, today having a mostly positive day closing up around 100 points We are now back from mini vacation and will be reporting on the markets tomorrow and in full starting next Monday.

Friday Dec 6th 845am In short U.S. employers were expected to add 187,000 jobs in November, and the unemployment rate was seen remaining steady at 3.6%, according to economists surveyed by Dow Jones. We expect the Dow Jones to be up 90-100 today

Thursday December 5 2019 The world markets are still talking China - US Trade and have mixed reactions. Japan in the high, Europe on the low In corporate news, Toronto-Dominion Bank, Dollar General, and Tiffany are among some of the companies scheduled to report earnings before the opening bell. CrowdStrike, DocuSign, and Okta are all set to report their latest quarterly figures after market close. On the data front, the latest weekly jobless claims and international trade figures for October will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. Factory orders for October will follow slightly later in the session. Thus we project the Dow Jones will rise this morning by 80-90 points. We do worry a but about the Pelosi 9am Impeachment Press Conference but we believe the jobs data number at 830 am will dictate the bulk of the afternoon market today

Tuesday Nov 26th 8AM While it seems that Hong Kong loves the AliBaba deal , Europe is slowing down as we speak So as the NY markets get geared for a NY market 9:30am open, traders are getting ready for Thanksgiving vacation ( and so as we) so we see a positive but very flatty open and close. Starting strong, ending slow but a positive Dow Jones day we believe of 30 points

Monday November 25th 2019 7AM Well we lost 2 companies this morning Tiffany & TD Ameritrade And while you might get mad as a consumer, these transactions will help to liberate the NY markets this morning World markets have seen to have had a powerful night, after the Hong Kong elections, which some say off the good market news on Friday Around 5:15 a.m. ET, Dow futures indicated a positive open of more than 90 points. Futures on the S&P and Nasdaq were both seen marginally higher. In corporate news, Jacobs Engineering will report earnings before the opening bell. Agilent, Palo Alto Networks, and PVH are among some of the companies set to report their latest quarterly results after the market close. We expect a good market day with the Dow Jones closing between 80-100 points

Monday 18th, Tuesday 19th Wednesday 20th Taking time off

Wednesday Nov 13th ....825AM investors looked ahead to testimony from the highest-ranking Federal Reserve official while digesting mixed news around U.S.-China trade talks. At 7 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 114 points, indicating a negative open of more than 104 points. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also pointed to losses at the open. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said will address the Congressional Joint Economic Committee later in the day. Powell’s testimony comes after the Fed cut rates in October for the third time this year. After that meeting, Powell raised the bar for further cuts, but hinted the Fed was a long way off from raising rates. The Fed’s most-recent rate cut helped the major averages reach record highs recently. In fact, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite posted fresh intraday records on Wednesday. But uncertainty around U.S.-China trade has kept the rally in check over the past few days as investors seek out clues about the state of those negotiations. The U.S. and China are reportedly at loggerheads over tariffs as they seek to conclude phase one of their trade deal. The Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday night, citing people familiar with the talks, that the impasse is on whether the U.S. should remove existing tariffs or would only cancel duties that are set to take effect on Dec. 15. The report comes after President Donald Trump told the Economic Club of New York that China was “dying” to make a trade deal. However, Trump offered no detail about how talks have evolved. Trump also blamed previous U.S. administrations for letting China “cheat” on trade. On the data front, there will be CPI numbers at 8:30 a.m. ET and Federal Budget figures released at 2 p.m. ET. If CPI comes in tame later this morning we might be a slight bump back up but we expect a slight Dow Jones 50 point drop

Tuesday Nov 12th 2019 Around 7 a.m. ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 10 points, indicating a gain of just 11 points at the open. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also pointed to marginal gains. Trump will be speaking at the Economic Club of New York later in the day where he could give clues to the status of trade talks between the U.S. and China. His speech comes amid some concerns regarding plans to sign a trade deal in the coming weeks. While the market is looking at a 130 point gain we are both happy and worried about 2 things today While we expect Disney + to boost the stock world, President Trump also talks today to the economic club of NY- a trunking sign, but overall we believe a positive 110 point Dow Jones day

Friday November 8 2019 The pre markets this morning are very choppy Japan doing well, Europe is not And with little economic news coming out today But Disney seems to be exploding We would suggest to try to grab a little early market action but the market will end today at only .10 points- a flat day

Thursday Nov 7th, 740AM It looks like China has agreed to slow down on it's tariffs this morning In pre market trading Trade bellwethers Caterpillar and Boeing were both up at least 0.7% in the premarket. Chip stocks such as Micron Technology, Advanced Micro Devices and Skyworks Solutions all gained at least 1% before the bell. Apple shares advanced 0.8%. We expect the markets to go up at least 100 points today and unless something happens after 930am, we have an even better afternoon

Wednesday November 6th 2019 Good morning Today Wednesday, we predict that the NY financial markets will have a positive opening but choppy day On the data front, industrial productivity figures and unit labor costs data for the third quarter are due out at 9:30 a.m. ET. Corporate earnings remain in focus CVS Health and Humana are set to publish earnings before the bell and this could boom or letter a current flat early pre morning

The Professors opinion of The Day November 3, 2019

While some future stocks are going down this morning , like Verizion, Harley Davidson, Merger Monday is showing that the world markets are rebounding via last Friday's employment report. Expect a choppy but strong day, possibly the Dow topping off at + 100 points

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